Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.321367 10.365226 11.488399 12.788494 14.254095 15.857588 17.748130
2025-07-06 7.570741 8.942168 10.519377 12.474023 14.840528 17.624365 21.163888
2025-07-13 6.562072 8.177299 10.148732 12.747790 16.107482 20.335316 26.107988
2025-07-20 5.778417 7.557528 9.849501 13.047912 17.442164 23.334578 31.947418
2025-07-27 5.082730 6.943172 9.459907 13.159436 18.536872 26.189335 38.121763
2025-08-03 4.426983 6.286495 8.914512 12.963816 19.160989 28.478204 43.913061
2025-08-10 3.882673 5.710654 8.399093 12.724543 19.668377 30.659576 49.942916
2025-08-17 3.434822 5.216552 7.934423 12.485599 20.124819 32.817123 56.335656
2025-08-24 3.079608 4.818118 7.561707 12.331477 20.682209 35.213097 63.595518
2025-08-31 2.796982 4.499247 7.272709 12.268500 21.373453 37.936753 71.988677
2025-09-07 2.613677 4.320105 7.188712 12.540138 22.691104 41.999614 83.811171
2025-09-14 2.393017 4.051679 6.918629 12.437350 23.289832 44.786592 93.609104
2025-09-21 2.162674 3.746401 6.557439 12.133924 23.488678 46.885695 102.572775
2025-09-28 1.980069 3.506955 6.287931 11.969647 23.942221 49.596878 113.589274
2025-10-05 1.883944 3.415727 6.282918 12.327561 25.542238 55.082298 132.637934
2025-10-12 1.796269 3.330638 6.279134 12.686844 27.206354 61.039821 154.495416
2025-10-19 1.694765 3.207833 6.186648 12.845031 28.445422 66.244801 175.811749
2025-10-26 1.572133 3.030593 5.964409 12.689387 28.926900 69.686462 193.158269
2025-11-02 1.457079 2.857393 5.731926 12.479774 29.245228 72.779124 210.388201
2025-11-09 1.352833 2.696573 5.508774 12.262523 29.511010 75.791978 228.292624
2025-11-16 1.264946 2.561959 5.328320 12.122990 29.955884 79.394872 249.251904
2025-11-23 1.191667 2.451861 5.190578 12.069273 30.621337 83.771598 274.276037
2025-11-30 1.148121 2.402545 5.184296 12.341836 32.226143 91.277191 313.054110